Tracking the outbreak, Dr. Nava

DR NAVA

Coronavirus World Map: Tracking the Global Outbreak

DAILY AVG. ON OCT. 10 PER 100,000 14-DAY CHANGE
Cases 479,703 6 +8%
Deaths 1,467 <1 –3%

About the data
Data for all countries except the United States comes from the Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University. United States data comes from state and local health officials and is collected by The New York Times. Population data from the World Bank and U.S. Census Bureau. Data for some countries, like the United States, Denmark, France and the Netherlands, include counts for overseas territories. The New York Times has found that official tallies in more than thirty countries have undercounted deaths during the coronavirus outbreak because of limited testing availability.

The Times has identified reporting anomalies or methodology changes in the data.

More about reporting anomalies or changes
Confirmed cases and deaths, which are widely considered to be an undercount of the true toll, are counts of individuals whose coronavirus infections were confirmed by a molecular laboratory test. Probable cases and deaths count individuals who meet criteria for other types of testing, symptoms and exposure, as developed by national and local governments.

Governments often revise data or report a single-day large increase in cases or deaths from unspecified days without historical revisions, which can cause an irregular pattern in the daily reported figures. The Times is excluding these anomalies from seven-day averages when possible. For agencies that do not report data every day, variation in the schedule on which cases or deaths are reported, such as around holidays, can also cause an irregular pattern in averages. The Times uses an adjustment method to vary the number of days included in an average to remove these irregularities.

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